{"id":7339,"date":"2025-12-11T17:56:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T16:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/?p=7339"},"modified":"2025-12-11T18:36:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T17:36:47","slug":"the-renowned-munich-based-economic-research-institute-ifo-sees-structural-change-and-tariffs-as-brakes-on-industry-and-production-potential","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/the-renowned-munich-based-economic-research-institute-ifo-sees-structural-change-and-tariffs-as-brakes-on-industry-and-production-potential\/","title":{"rendered":"The renowned Munich-based economic research institute ifo sees structural change and tariffs as brakes on industry and production potential"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Pressure to decarbonize<\/strong>, <strong>digitize<\/strong>, and <strong>robotize<\/strong> at a time of <strong>demographic change<\/strong>, <strong>geopolitical uncertainty<\/strong>, and <strong>difficult financing conditions<\/strong> is weighing on the German economy. <strong>Bureaucratic and infrastructural hurdles<\/strong> are particularly burdensome for the manufacturing industry, which (still) plays a major role in the German economy and contributes significantly to employment and value creation.&nbsp; This <strong>structural change<\/strong> has led to<strong> a downward revision of production potential<\/strong> in recent years and will lead to <strong>a slowdown in the potential growth rate<\/strong> in the coming years. In addition, increases in <strong>US import tariffs<\/strong> are weighing on the German export economy. This has <strong>significantly reduced the scope for recovery<\/strong>. This was stated by the ifo Institute for Economic Research in its economic forecast published today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the ifo, <strong>the economic policy decisions taken<\/strong> are likely to give the German economy only a short-term economic boost, but <strong>will not provide any impetus for higher production potential or an acceleration in potential growth<\/strong>. The ifo also believes that both structural change and the burden of US import tariffs<strong> will continue during the forecast period<\/strong>. Due to the US tariffs, the ifo even expects pull-forward effects in 2025, which will cause export volumes to shrink accordingly in 2026. <strong>Competition with China on European markets<\/strong> will intensify further as a result of US import tariffs. Accordingly, the <strong>ifo&#8217;s forecast for price-adjusted German gross domestic product is weak<\/strong>, having been significantly lowered compared to the ifo&#8217;s autumn report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, <strong>the structural change<\/strong> that has been taking place for several years now <strong>can also be seen as an opportunity<\/strong>. Resilient companies have the <strong>necessary adaptability<\/strong>. They <strong>use their innovative strength<\/strong>, <strong>adjust their strategic orientation<\/strong>, and <strong>adapt their business models<\/strong>. Concrete opportunities lie both in <strong>a clear focus on processes and products that promote decarbonization<\/strong> and in <strong>the systematic use of artificial intelligence and robotics<\/strong> to increase efficiency and global competitiveness. However, <strong>strong customer relationships<\/strong>, <strong>active sales to generate relevant leads<\/strong>, and <strong>excellent service <\/strong>should not be neglected. The global economic outlook is more positive than in Germany. This offers opportunities. Many German companies have good products, but they lack <strong>international distribution channels<\/strong>, which can be developed. Companies that initiate corresponding projects with high business impact can convert these opportunities into competitive advantages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps the end of the year, the time for \u201cambitious objectives\u201d, is a suitable moment to initiate such a <strong>transformation with high business impact<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pressure to decarbonize, digitize, and robotize at a time of demographic change, geopolitical uncertainty, and difficult financing conditions is weighing on the German economy. Bureaucratic and infrastructural hurdles are particularly burdensome for the manufacturing industry, which (still) plays a major role in the German economy and contributes significantly to employment and value creation.&nbsp; This structural <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/the-renowned-munich-based-economic-research-institute-ifo-sees-structural-change-and-tariffs-as-brakes-on-industry-and-production-potential\/\" class=\"more-link\">&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[126],"tags":[242,231,241,243,240,167],"class_list":["post-7339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-homepage","tag-active-sales","tag-ai","tag-opportunities","tag-robotics","tag-structural-change","tag-transformation-2"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7339"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7339\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7343,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7339\/revisions\/7343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bluemomentum-consulting.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}